Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 4.994163 5.412915 5.877572 6.437116 7.100664 7.873181 8.857432
2025-02-09 4.514846 5.075363 5.742439 6.614981 7.759750 9.266007 11.509866
2025-02-16 4.120371 4.762512 5.569906 6.701624 8.328541 10.747358 15.056562
2025-02-23 3.780013 4.465782 5.367121 6.707078 8.800747 12.319918 20.052595
2025-03-02 3.403976 4.076904 4.986679 6.392929 8.722254 13.021523 24.411249
2025-03-09 3.155163 3.830831 4.770784 6.284114 8.956558 14.468719 33.504516
2025-03-16 2.889154 3.535846 4.450761 5.960544 8.736482 14.909521 41.403926
2025-03-23 2.751479 3.408010 4.361026 5.995592 9.205468 17.359106 75.712146
2025-03-30 2.607136 3.257836 4.220618 5.921389 9.441933 19.497532 170.935701
2025-04-06 2.460002 3.092344 4.040220 5.749343 9.423842 20.924960 658.702423
2025-04-13 2.306011 2.906916 3.813240 5.463579 9.078202 20.940296 111260.779220
2025-04-20 2.247500 2.859860 3.802831 5.578684 9.732363 26.102377 NaN
2025-04-27 2.241914 2.902697 3.960730 6.088858 11.808988 49.181904 NaN
2025-05-04 2.186927 2.865189 3.981017 6.335225 13.407202 100.769030 NaN
2025-05-11 2.120694 2.804934 3.955687 6.483356 14.890249 359.994157 NaN
2025-05-18 2.048204 2.729319 3.895022 6.541106 16.166477 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.944287 2.595617 3.715195 6.277763 15.822343 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.870919 2.508452 3.615563 6.200084 16.401448 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.779277 2.386046 3.440217 5.903362 15.651971 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.732749 2.336801 3.400484 5.952654 16.923367 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.678276 2.271070 3.323514 5.890475 17.535948 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.617822 2.192271 3.215524 5.728027 17.387566 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 1.549650 2.097661 3.071320 5.449690 16.294250 NaN NaN